Can this really be happening?
This chart describes betting patterns on the London Mayoral Elections for the last three months - converting them in implied probability. It’s got two messages, really: as unpredictable an election as I can remember; in the last few days most people seem to have made up their minds that Boris will actually do it, as unbelievable as this might sound on Earth.
May 3, 2008 at 7:19 am
Looks like he did do it! Not exactly a massive victory, but a victory none-the-less.