Can this really be happening?

May 1, 2008

This chart describes betting patterns on the London Mayoral Elections for the last three months – converting them in implied probability. It’s got two messages, really: as unpredictable an election as I can remember; in the last few days most people seem to have made up their minds that Boris will actually do it, as unbelievable as this might sound on Earth.


One Response to “Can this really be happening?”

  1. Alasdair Says:

    Looks like he did do it! Not exactly a massive victory, but a victory none-the-less.

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